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Final
2026-08-0408:10Daikin Park
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Astros
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Blue Jays010200000370
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
53%
-0pp
F5 first five
57%
+3pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
023466993426412738262673374544456554746575077048833439131210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 439Runs Allowed 497

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games
0275481109707115156261793586746687555406496476648838299141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 528Runs Allowed 555
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR22% 25/11213% 15/112#130% 34/11221% 24/11222% 25/112#229% 33/11227% 30/112#329% 32/11224% 21/8880% 8/10
RA#133% 37/11217% 19/112#329% 33/11227% 30/11227% 30/112#233% 37/11221% 24/11225% 28/11227% 23/8670% 7/10
AstrosR#135% 39/11324% 27/113#233% 37/11327% 30/113#331% 35/11324% 27/11323% 26/11330% 34/11326% 22/8667% 8/12
RA#234% 38/11327% 30/113#332% 36/11329% 33/113#138% 43/11319% 22/11327% 31/11326% 29/11325% 22/8967% 8/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.