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2026-08-0302:20Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Yankees scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.1
Yankees scoring tendency
12%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 5%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -7pp
#3
Inn.8
Yankees scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cooling downCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Cubs defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Yankees defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
39%
-16pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
44%
-10pp
F9 full game
45%
-9pp
Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
02347709464531483527556343514453955848656417675784626981810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 510Runs Allowed 424

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
023477195584316453258563616545958576606694176161846289171410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 569Runs Allowed 479
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
YankeesR#132% 36/11123% 26/11125% 28/11124% 27/11123% 25/11124% 27/111#230% 33/111#330% 33/11127% 24/8846% 6/13
RA#129% 32/11120% 22/111#228% 31/111#326% 29/11119% 21/11126% 29/11125% 28/11124% 27/11123% 21/9377% 10/13
CubsR25% 28/11129% 32/11124% 27/11129% 32/11127% 30/111#133% 37/11129% 32/111#232% 36/111#330% 27/9075% 12/16
RA20% 22/11127% 30/111#229% 32/111#329% 32/11128% 31/11128% 31/11123% 25/111#131% 34/11121% 19/8950% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.