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Final
2026-08-0301:40Citi Field
2-0
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
20%R 25% · RA 15%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 60% · Season 54% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
48%
-6pp
F9 full game
49%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
022446688596816451239453695245954546656443076770836359111310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.42.02.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 494Runs Allowed 483

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
023477094526215770232753474945243566596494974958828359251310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 457Runs Allowed 513
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#231% 35/112#134% 38/11225% 28/112#331% 35/11229% 32/11223% 26/11223% 26/11231% 35/11227% 22/8367% 4/6
RA#329% 32/11224% 27/11228% 31/11227% 30/112#231% 35/11227% 30/11218% 20/112#132% 36/11226% 22/8483% 5/6
MetsR27% 30/112#131% 35/11219% 21/11221% 23/11226% 29/112#230% 34/112#329% 32/11222% 25/11217% 16/9258% 11/19
RA#232% 36/11229% 33/112#133% 37/11225% 28/11222% 25/112#330% 34/11223% 26/11223% 26/11221% 18/8563% 12/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.