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Final
2026-08-0301:35Truist Park
2-4
Braves
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Nationals000200000242
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
45%R 50% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 85% · Season 60% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
65%
+10pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
61%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
0285786115825314867270543706547764551546925976082840689152110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 605Runs Allowed 587

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
023477094595917557246413576045938566486453176349863419121510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 545Runs Allowed 439
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#335% 39/11225% 28/112#138% 42/11231% 35/112#236% 40/11226% 29/11235% 39/11225% 28/11226% 23/8960% 9/15
RA27% 30/11228% 31/112#332% 36/11231% 35/11232% 36/11222% 25/11230% 34/112#233% 37/112#137% 34/9267% 10/15
BravesR#333% 37/111#236% 40/11128% 31/11127% 30/11127% 30/11125% 28/11122% 24/11130% 33/111#138% 31/8173% 8/11
RA#230% 33/11121% 23/11123% 26/111#131% 34/11123% 25/111#327% 30/11118% 20/11127% 30/11123% 21/9064% 7/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.