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Final
2026-08-0207:15Wrigley Field
2-5
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Yankees scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Yankees scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.1
Yankees scoring tendency
12%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 5%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cooling downCombined vs league -12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Cubs defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Yankees defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 68% · Season 52% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
39%
-16pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
45%
-9pp
F9 full game
44%
-9pp
Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games
02347709464521483527556343514443955848655387675684626981810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 508Runs Allowed 419

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games
023477195574316453258563616545957576606664076061846289171410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 564Runs Allowed 477
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
YankeesR#133% 36/11024% 26/11025% 28/11025% 27/11022% 24/11025% 27/110#329% 32/110#230% 33/11028% 24/8746% 6/13
RA#128% 31/11020% 22/110#228% 31/110#326% 29/11019% 21/11026% 29/11025% 27/11024% 26/11023% 21/9377% 10/13
CubsR25% 27/11029% 32/11025% 27/11029% 32/11027% 30/110#134% 37/11028% 31/110#232% 35/110#330% 27/9075% 12/16
RA20% 22/11027% 30/110#229% 32/110#329% 32/11027% 30/11028% 31/11022% 24/110#131% 34/11022% 19/8850% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.