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Final
2026-08-0204:10Citi Field
6-2
Mets
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Marlins1201020006100
Mets020000000272

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
15%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
22%R 25% · RA 20%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
43%R 30% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 65% · Season 55% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
50%
-5pp
F9 full game
50%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
022446688586816249239453685245954544656443076770836359111310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.42.02.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 488Runs Allowed 481

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
023477094526115568232753474845243566576494974958828359251310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 455Runs Allowed 507
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#331% 34/111#133% 37/11125% 28/11131% 34/11129% 32/11123% 25/11123% 26/111#232% 35/11127% 22/8267% 4/6
RA#329% 32/11123% 26/11128% 31/11127% 30/111#232% 35/11127% 30/11118% 20/111#132% 36/11127% 22/8383% 5/6
MetsR27% 30/111#131% 34/11119% 21/11121% 23/11126% 29/111#231% 34/111#329% 32/11123% 25/11118% 16/9158% 11/19
RA#232% 35/11129% 32/111#133% 37/11124% 27/11123% 25/111#330% 33/11123% 26/11123% 26/11121% 18/8463% 12/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.