Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-07-3107:10Citi Field

Marlins

Away

2-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	7	1
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	X	4	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 29%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 31%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

44%

-11pp

7–9 Late

59%

+6pp

F5 first five

52%

-2pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 481Runs Allowed 475

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 449Runs Allowed 500

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	#331% 34/109	#134% 37/109	26% 28/109	30% 33/109	28% 31/109	22% 24/109	23% 25/109	#232% 35/109	28% 22/80	67% 4/6
Marlins	RA	#329% 32/109	24% 26/109	28% 31/109	28% 30/109	#231% 34/109	27% 29/109	17% 19/109	#132% 35/109	27% 22/82	83% 5/6
Mets	R	28% 30/109	#131% 34/109	19% 21/109	21% 23/109	26% 28/109	#230% 33/109	#328% 31/109	22% 24/109	18% 16/90	58% 11/19
Mets	RA	#232% 35/109	#329% 32/109	#134% 37/109	24% 26/109	22% 24/109	29% 32/109	23% 25/109	24% 26/109	22% 18/82	63% 12/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.