Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-07-3007:10Great American Ball Park

Guardians

Away

6-1

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Guardians	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0	0	6	12	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	6	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.7

Guardians scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.1

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Reds defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Reds offense × Guardians defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 62% · Season 60% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-1pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

52%

-3pp

F9 full game

50%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 426Runs Allowed 445

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 439Runs Allowed 504

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Guardians	R	25% 27/109	17% 18/109	#228% 30/109	20% 22/109	#135% 38/109	22% 24/109	27% 29/109	#328% 30/109	22% 19/86	36% 4/11
Guardians	RA	23% 25/109	24% 26/109	23% 25/109	#331% 34/109	25% 27/109	#136% 39/109	28% 30/109	#233% 36/109	29% 24/84	55% 6/11
Reds	R	#327% 29/106	23% 24/106	25% 26/106	#230% 32/106	#132% 34/106	25% 26/106	19% 20/106	25% 27/106	24% 21/87	71% 10/14
Reds	RA	#133% 35/106	24% 25/106	29% 31/106	23% 24/106	28% 30/106	28% 30/106	28% 30/106	#233% 35/106	#330% 25/83	50% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.