Sportify
Final
2026-07-3001:05Nationals Park
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0000011305120
Nationals000100010261

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +31pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +31pp
Last 20 85% · Season 66% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
66%
+11pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games
023466992426412738261663364444455552736535076447833399131210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 425Runs Allowed 488

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games
0285785114825014765269543676347762551476915475679839689152110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 594Runs Allowed 563
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR23% 25/10814% 15/108#131% 33/10821% 23/10823% 25/108#229% 31/10826% 28/108#327% 29/10824% 21/8680% 8/10
RA#134% 37/10818% 19/108#330% 32/10827% 29/10827% 29/108#233% 36/10822% 24/10825% 27/10827% 22/8270% 7/10
NationalsR#336% 39/10825% 27/108#138% 41/10830% 32/108#237% 40/10827% 29/10835% 38/10824% 26/10826% 22/8560% 9/15
RA26% 28/10827% 29/108#233% 36/10831% 33/10832% 35/10820% 22/10830% 32/108#333% 36/108#137% 34/9167% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.