#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp
Scoring Analysis
H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
Scoring hotspots
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp
Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies
Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
+
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 82% · Season 65% · +17pp
Game phases
1–3 Early
63%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-1pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
61%
+6pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends
Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
107 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 419Runs Allowed 480
Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
107 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 586Runs Allowed 557
Show raw detail and samples
Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.
| Team | Item | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TORBlue Jays | R | 23% 25/107 | 14% 15/107 | #130% 32/107 | 21% 22/107 | 22% 24/107 | #229% 31/107 | #326% 28/107 | 26% 28/107 | 25% 21/85 | 80% 8/10 |
| RA | #134% 36/107 | 18% 19/107 | #330% 32/107 | 26% 28/107 | 26% 28/107 | #234% 36/107 | 22% 24/107 | 25% 27/107 | 27% 22/82 | 70% 7/10 | |
| WSHNationals | R | #336% 38/107 | 25% 27/107 | #138% 41/107 | 29% 31/107 | #236% 39/107 | 27% 29/107 | 36% 38/107 | 24% 26/107 | 26% 22/85 | 60% 9/15 |
| RA | 26% 28/107 | 27% 29/107 | #233% 35/107 | 30% 32/107 | 32% 34/107 | 21% 22/107 | 30% 32/107 | #333% 35/107 | #138% 34/90 | 67% 10/15 |
Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.