Final
2026-07-2807:45Busch Stadium
Cubs
Away
7-3
Team123456789RHE
Cubs1110200027150
Cardinals010002000370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 10%
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 51% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
47%
-6pp
F5 first five
49%
-6pp
F9 full game
50%
-4pp
Show team trends

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games
023477195544315851257563606345656576586653975961843279131110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 541Runs Allowed 465

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games
021426384645613535256303476446054567506465074462832569151010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 466Runs Allowed 467
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CHCR24% 25/10529% 30/10525% 26/105#330% 31/10527% 28/105#135% 37/10529% 30/105#232% 34/10529% 25/8571% 10/14
RA21% 22/10527% 28/105#230% 32/105#329% 30/10528% 29/10529% 30/10522% 23/105#132% 34/10522% 18/8350% 7/14
STLR#132% 34/10519% 20/105#330% 31/10527% 28/10530% 31/105#230% 32/10521% 22/10528% 29/10521% 17/8264% 9/14
RA29% 30/10518% 19/10518% 19/105#231% 33/105#331% 33/10530% 32/10528% 29/10529% 30/105#134% 29/8657% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.