Final
2026-07-2806:45Nationals Park
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays002100000371
Nationals010010000280

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 55%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 80% · Season 65% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-4pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games
023466992426012737258663344144353552736535076147833399131210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 416Runs Allowed 478

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games
0285785114785014665269513646147561551476915475676839689152110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 584Runs Allowed 554
Show raw detail and samples

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
TORR24% 25/10614% 15/106#129% 31/10620% 21/10623% 24/106#229% 31/106#326% 28/10626% 28/10625% 21/8480% 8/10
RA#134% 36/10617% 18/106#330% 32/10626% 28/10625% 27/106#234% 36/10623% 24/10625% 27/10627% 22/8170% 7/10
WSHR#236% 38/10625% 26/106#139% 41/10629% 31/106#336% 38/10627% 29/10636% 38/10625% 26/10626% 22/8460% 9/15
RA26% 28/10627% 29/106#332% 34/10629% 31/10632% 34/10621% 22/10630% 32/106#233% 35/106#138% 34/8967% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.