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Final
2026-07-2308:10Wrigley Field
Tigers
Away
5-1
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Tigers010300001591
Cubs100000000140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Tigers scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.5
Tigers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.1
Tigers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Cubs defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Tigers defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 58% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
47%
-6pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
51%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

101 games
020416182654013732256573464245244547406415474161830219131310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 428Runs Allowed 404

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

101 games
022446688534315747257523576045354570586633975761841269111010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 519Runs Allowed 450
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
TigersR#134% 34/10123% 23/101#328% 28/10124% 24/101#230% 30/10126% 26/10121% 21/10127% 27/10124% 19/7960% 6/10
RA20% 20/10121% 21/101#133% 33/101#228% 28/10121% 21/10125% 25/101#328% 28/10127% 27/10120% 15/7680% 8/10
CubsR24% 24/10129% 29/10126% 26/101#330% 30/10127% 27/101#135% 35/10129% 29/101#232% 32/10130% 24/8169% 9/13
RA22% 22/10126% 26/101#231% 31/10129% 29/10127% 27/101#330% 30/10123% 23/101#134% 34/10121% 17/8046% 6/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.