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Final
2026-07-2208:05Wrigley Field
Tigers
Away
2-11
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Tigers scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.8
Tigers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.5
Tigers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Cubs defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Tigers defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-4pp
7–9 Late
46%
-7pp
F5 first five
51%
-4pp
F9 full game
50%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

100 games
020416182653413732256563464245242547406415274161828219131310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 426Runs Allowed 393

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

100 games
022446688474315747256523576045154570586613975761841249111010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 508Runs Allowed 448
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
TigersR#134% 34/10023% 23/100#328% 28/10024% 24/100#230% 30/10026% 26/10021% 21/10027% 27/10023% 18/7860% 6/10
RA19% 19/10021% 21/100#132% 32/100#228% 28/10020% 20/10025% 25/100#327% 27/10027% 27/10020% 15/7680% 8/10
CubsR23% 23/10029% 29/10025% 25/100#330% 30/10026% 26/100#135% 35/10028% 28/100#232% 32/10030% 24/8169% 9/13
RA22% 22/10026% 26/100#231% 31/10029% 29/10027% 27/100#330% 30/10023% 23/100#134% 34/10020% 16/7946% 6/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.