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Final
2026-07-2108:10Daikin Park
5-8
Astros
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Marlins020200001590
Astros06001010X880

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Marlins scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 44%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.3
Marlins scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Astros defense
33%R 41% · RA 25%
Astros offense × Marlins defense
36%R 28% · RA 44%
Sample 16Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 69% · Season 52% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-1pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
57%
+3pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

100 games
020416182556515441237403635045044543596382776455832349111310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.42.02.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 447Runs Allowed 428

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

101 games
0255176102676113854255743516145981541356395776044831279141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 455Runs Allowed 508
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#332% 32/100#133% 33/10026% 26/10031% 31/10028% 28/10024% 24/10023% 23/100#233% 33/10027% 20/7367% 4/6
RA#130% 30/10023% 23/10028% 28/10028% 28/100#329% 29/10028% 28/10017% 17/100#230% 30/10028% 21/7683% 5/6
AstrosR#136% 36/10121% 21/101#232% 32/10125% 25/101#331% 31/10124% 24/10122% 22/10130% 30/10122% 18/8067% 8/12
RA#234% 34/10129% 29/101#332% 32/10130% 30/101#139% 39/10119% 19/10128% 28/10127% 27/10126% 20/7867% 8/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.