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Final
2026-07-1304:10Petco Park
4-5
Padres
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Blue Jays100200010491
Padres03000002X570

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Padres defense
32%R 20% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
42%
-11pp
F5 first five
55%
-0pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
020416283395612727251613293644245549666484275943831349131210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 388Runs Allowed 422

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
02041618239471326523440346454435753452646527454484310912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 374Runs Allowed 418
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR23% 22/9516% 15/95#229% 28/9518% 17/9524% 23/95#131% 29/9526% 25/95#327% 26/9525% 19/7580% 8/10
RA#136% 34/9515% 14/95#329% 28/9526% 25/9525% 24/95#234% 32/9522% 21/9526% 25/9527% 20/7370% 7/10
PadresR23% 22/9518% 17/9522% 21/95#129% 28/95#328% 27/9523% 22/9528% 27/9527% 26/95#229% 22/7588% 7/8
RA24% 23/95#232% 30/9522% 21/95#331% 29/95#134% 32/9529% 28/9526% 25/9522% 21/9512% 9/7262% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.