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Final
2026-07-1208:40Petco Park
7-8
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays040003000780
Padres22210100X881

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Padres defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 62% · Season 53% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
46%
-7pp
F5 first five
51%
-4pp
F9 full game
50%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
020416182395412325251593293544245546656484275943831349131210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 381Runs Allowed 414

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
01938577737471306123240345454435753349646527454484310912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 366Runs Allowed 411
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR23% 22/9415% 14/94#130% 28/9418% 17/9424% 23/94#230% 28/9427% 25/94#328% 26/9426% 19/7480% 8/10
RA#135% 33/9414% 13/94#329% 27/9426% 24/9426% 24/94#233% 31/9422% 21/9427% 25/9427% 20/7370% 7/10
PadresR22% 21/9417% 16/9421% 20/94#229% 27/94#329% 27/9422% 21/9429% 27/9428% 26/94#129% 22/7588% 7/8
RA24% 23/94#231% 29/9422% 21/94#331% 29/94#134% 32/9429% 27/9427% 25/9422% 21/9413% 9/7162% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.