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Final
2026-07-1204:10Tropicana Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Rays defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Mariners defense
30%R 45% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 62% · Season 54% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
44%
-9pp
F5 first five
52%
-3pp
F9 full game
49%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
016335067433614321238533424945331549486344874142829309111010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 383Runs Allowed 368

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games
016335067493914134246423402145149547506434475347825339222510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 417Runs Allowed 384
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#131% 29/9526% 25/9524% 23/9524% 23/95#231% 29/95#331% 29/9521% 20/9522% 21/9526% 19/7464% 7/11
RA26% 25/9513% 12/95#129% 28/9523% 22/9520% 19/9526% 25/95#327% 26/9525% 24/95#229% 21/7273% 8/11
RaysR#136% 33/9221% 19/9228% 26/9225% 23/9229% 27/92#234% 31/9225% 23/92#332% 29/9220% 12/6080% 12/15
RA24% 22/9222% 20/9227% 25/9213% 12/92#228% 26/92#129% 27/9224% 22/92#328% 26/9226% 19/7467% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.