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Final
2026-07-1107:10Tropicana Field
2-7
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Mariners000011000250
Rays00112030X7140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Rays defense
22%R 20% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Mariners defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 62% · Season 54% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
46%
-7pp
F5 first five
50%
-4pp
F9 full game
49%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
016324865433614321238523424845229548486344574142829309111010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 381Runs Allowed 361

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games
016335067493914134245423392144948547496404475347825339222510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 410Runs Allowed 382
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#131% 29/9427% 25/9424% 23/9424% 23/94#230% 28/94#330% 28/9421% 20/9422% 21/9426% 19/7364% 7/11
RA#327% 25/9413% 12/94#229% 27/9422% 21/9419% 18/9427% 25/9427% 25/9426% 24/94#129% 21/7273% 8/11
RaysR#136% 33/9121% 19/9127% 25/9124% 22/9129% 26/91#234% 31/9124% 22/91#332% 29/9120% 12/6080% 12/15
RA24% 22/9122% 20/91#327% 25/9113% 12/9127% 25/91#129% 26/9124% 22/91#229% 26/9126% 19/7367% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.