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Final
2026-07-1107:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Royals
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3-5
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Advanced Analysis

Pre-game data reference based on recent workload, pitcher roles, and hitting form. Not betting advice.

Postgame review
Through 2026-07-09 · 94 games. Pregame data is retained for postgame comparison.
RA/G
5.11
SP RA%
56%
BP RA%
44%
Pregame ready
7

Last 5 RA

2026-07-09
7
2026-07-08
6
2026-07-07
12
2026-07-06
1
2026-07-05
2

IP Share

SP 59%BP 41%
Denominator: current roster, 820.2 IP (2462 outs) this season

Pitcher Workload

Royals
Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila#58
RStarterGame starter
Ready
Season ERA
5.05
Season WHIP
1.59
Starter rest
4 days rest
Last: 69 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
14118
+
Shaky form4 days rest fits a normal starter cycle
IP
9%
RA
9%
RA/IP
0.56
Rest
Ready
4 days rest
5.0 IP / 69 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-055.0 IP1 ER1 RA69 P
2026-06-284.0 IP4 ER4 RA86 P
2026-06-235.0 IP1 ER1 RA87 P
2026-06-175.2 IP1 ER1 RA91 P
2026-06-120.2 IP8 ER8 RA49 P
Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg#60
RCloser
Ready
Season ERA
5.00
Season WHIP
1.64
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 15 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00100
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
6%
RA
7%
RA/IP
0.61
Rest
Ready
0 days rest
1.1 IP / 15 pitches
Inn.
5,6,7,8,9,10
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-091.1 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-07-071.0 IP0 ER0 RA5 P
2026-07-041.0 IP1 ER1 RA21 P
2026-06-301.0 IP0 ER0 RA13 P
2026-06-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
Daniel Lynch IV
Daniel Lynch IV#41
LHigh Lev
Ready
Season ERA
2.41
Season WHIP
0.96
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 18 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00010
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
6%
RA
4%
RA/IP
0.35
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
1.1 IP / 18 pitches
Inn.
4,5,6,7,8,9,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-071.1 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
2026-07-051.0 IP0 ER0 RA12 P
2026-07-021.0 IP0 ER0 RA9 P
2026-06-270.1 IP1 ER1 RA12 P
2026-06-260.2 IP0 ER0 RA9 P
John Schreiber
John Schreiber#46
RHigh Lev
Ready
Season ERA
3.53
Season WHIP
1.29
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 24 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
21004
+
Poor formRecent workload looks normal
IP
6%
RA
5%
RA/IP
0.48
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
0.2 IP / 24 pitches
Inn.
5,6,7,8,9,10,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-070.2 IP2 ER2 RA24 P
2026-07-051.0 IP0 ER1 RA14 P
2026-07-021.0 IP0 ER0 RA12 P
2026-06-270.1 IP0 ER0 RA12 P
2026-06-261.0 IP3 ER4 RA26 P
Matt Strahm
Matt Strahm#25
LHigh Lev
Ready
Season ERA
5.40
Season WHIP
1.33
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 5 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
01000
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
6%
RA/IP
0.60
Rest
Ready
1 days rest
0.1 IP / 5 pitches
Inn.
6,7,8,9
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-080.1 IP0 ER0 RA5 P
2026-07-071.0 IP1 ER1 RA24 P
2026-07-051.0 IP0 ER0 RA22 P
2026-07-011.0 IP0 ER0 RA9 P
2026-06-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA9 P
Eli Morgan
Eli Morgan#34
RMiddle
Ready
Season ERA
5.19
Season WHIP
1.79
Bullpen rest
27 days rest
Last: 13 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
01002
+
Shaky formRecent workload looks normal
IP
3%
RA
3%
RA/IP
0.58
Rest
Ready
27 days rest
1.0 IP / 13 pitches
Inn.
6,7,8,9
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-06-121.0 IP0 ER0 RA13 P
2026-06-011.0 IP1 ER1 RA25 P
2026-05-311.0 IP0 ER0 RA16 P
2026-05-291.0 IP0 ER0 RA24 P
2026-05-261.0 IP2 ER2 RA30 P
Steven Cruz
Steven Cruz#64
RMiddle
Ready
Season ERA
5.46
Season WHIP
1.46
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 14 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
10000
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
6%
RA/IP
0.64
Rest
Ready
1 days rest
1.0 IP / 14 pitches
Inn.
1,2,4,5,6,7,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-081.0 IP1 ER1 RA14 P
2026-07-061.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
2026-07-021.0 IP0 ER0 RA16 P
2026-06-301.0 IP0 ER0 RA7 P
2026-06-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA11 P
Beck Way
Beck Way#44
RMiddle
Ready
Season ERA
3.57
Season WHIP
1.58
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 8 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
10000
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
3%
RA
2%
RA/IP
0.40
Rest
Ready
0 days rest
1.0 IP / 8 pitches
Inn.
3,4,6,7,8,9
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-091.0 IP1 ER1 RA8 P
2026-07-070.2 IP0 ER0 RA10 P
2026-07-061.0 IP0 ER0 RA21 P
2026-07-041.0 IP0 ER0 RA22 P
2026-06-301.1 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
Alex Lange
Alex Lange#56
RCloser
Limited
Season ERA
5.92
Season WHIP
1.53
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 38 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
50050
+
Poor form30+ pitches last outing with limited rest
IP
6%
RA
8%
RA/IP
0.71
Rest
Limited
1 days rest
0.2 IP / 38 pitches
Inn.
4,5,6,7,8,9,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-080.2 IP5 ER5 RA38 P
2026-07-051.0 IP0 ER0 RA11 P
2026-06-281.0 IP0 ER0 RA10 P
2026-06-260.1 IP5 ER5 RA26 P
2026-06-221.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
Randy Dobnak
Randy Dobnak#62
RMiddle
Unlikely
Season ERA
1.86
Season WHIP
1.34
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 95 pitchesUnlikely
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
02
+
Average form30+ pitches last outing with limited restTired
IP
2%
RA
1%
RA/IP
0.21
Rest
Unlikely
1 days rest
5.2 IP / 95 pitches
Inn.
2,3,4,5,6,7
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-085.2 IP0 ER0 RA95 P
2026-07-024.0 IP2 ER2 RA64 P
Noah Cameron
Noah Cameron#65
LStarter
Limited
Season ERA
4.77
Season WHIP
1.47
Starter rest
3 days rest
Last: 105 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
16544
+
Poor form3 days rest makes a short-rest start less likely
IP
15%
RA
16%
RA/IP
0.59
Rest
Limited
3 days rest
5.0 IP / 105 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-065.0 IP1 ER1 RA105 P
2026-06-303.2 IP6 ER6 RA86 P
2026-06-245.0 IP5 ER5 RA108 P
2026-06-185.0 IP3 ER4 RA108 P
2026-06-134.1 IP4 ER4 RA86 P
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo#67
RStarter
Unlikely
Season ERA
4.56
Season WHIP
1.43
Starter rest
2 days rest
Last: 94 pitchesUnlikely
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
93721
+
Poor formOnly 2 days rest does not fit normal starter usageTired
IP
17%
RA
18%
RA/IP
0.58
Rest
Unlikely
2 days rest
4.1 IP / 94 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-07-074.1 IP6 ER9 RA94 P
2026-07-016.0 IP3 ER3 RA85 P
2026-06-255.0 IP7 ER7 RA90 P
2026-06-196.0 IP1 ER2 RA85 P
2026-06-103.1 IP1 ER1 RA44 P