Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-07-0807:10Great American Ball Park

Phillies

Away

4-1

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	8	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.8

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Reds defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Reds offense × Phillies defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-7pp

7–9 Late

55%

+2pp

F5 first five

55%

+0pp

F9 full game

54%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 403Runs Allowed 410

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 372Runs Allowed 432

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#133% 30/91	#325% 23/91	25% 23/91	23% 21/91	24% 22/91	22% 20/91	24% 22/91	#227% 25/91	22% 15/69	62% 5/8
Phillies	RA	25% 23/91	25% 23/91	#233% 30/91	25% 23/91	#330% 27/91	#134% 31/91	30% 27/91	24% 22/91	22% 16/73	62% 5/8
Reds	R	28% 25/89	26% 23/89	24% 21/89	#229% 26/89	#131% 28/89	26% 23/89	16% 14/89	#329% 26/89	25% 18/73	69% 9/13
Reds	RA	#134% 30/89	24% 21/89	31% 28/89	25% 22/89	27% 24/89	28% 25/89	28% 25/89	#333% 29/89	#233% 23/69	46% 6/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.