Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-07-0806:40Tropicana Field

Yankees

Away

4-6

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Yankees	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	11	0
Rays	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	X	6	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Yankees scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.5

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.3

Yankees scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Rays defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Rays offense × Yankees defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 73% · Season 62% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-2pp

7–9 Late

45%

-8pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 432Runs Allowed 350

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 397Runs Allowed 366

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Yankees	R	#136% 32/90	28% 25/90	27% 24/90	22% 20/90	23% 21/90	28% 25/90	28% 25/90	#330% 27/90	#231% 22/70	57% 4/7
Yankees	RA	#328% 25/90	21% 19/90	28% 25/90	#131% 28/90	19% 17/90	#229% 26/90	23% 21/90	26% 23/90	25% 19/76	71% 5/7
Rays	R	#136% 32/88	20% 18/88	26% 23/88	24% 21/88	28% 25/88	#234% 30/88	24% 21/88	#333% 29/88	20% 12/59	80% 12/15
Rays	RA	25% 22/88	23% 20/88	26% 23/88	12% 11/88	#128% 25/88	#228% 25/88	23% 20/88	#328% 25/88	27% 19/70	67% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.