Sportify
Final
2026-07-0706:45Nationals Park
Astros
Away
11-12
Team123456789RHE
Astros13200104011122
Nationals10506000X12130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.7
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Nationals defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Astros defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 72% · Season 66% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
58%
+5pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games
021426385635713451247633465645868538346335775237829239131110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 413Runs Allowed 457

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games
022456790684214554249413555445356543426724675461831599152110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 485Runs Allowed 476
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#136% 33/9221% 19/92#330% 28/9224% 22/92#233% 30/9223% 21/9221% 19/9227% 25/9224% 17/7170% 7/10
RA#234% 31/92#330% 28/9229% 27/9229% 27/92#137% 34/9220% 18/9230% 28/9226% 24/9224% 17/7260% 6/10
NationalsR#135% 32/9127% 25/91#235% 32/9129% 26/91#334% 31/9129% 26/9134% 31/9126% 24/9125% 18/7360% 9/15
RA26% 24/9126% 24/9131% 28/9130% 27/91#233% 30/9120% 18/91#332% 29/9130% 27/91#138% 29/7667% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.