Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-07-0706:40Tropicana Field

Yankees

Away

5-1

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Yankees	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	1	5	3	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Yankees scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Yankees scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.4

Yankees scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Rays defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Rays offense × Yankees defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 73% · Season 63% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-1pp

7–9 Late

43%

-9pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 427Runs Allowed 349

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 396Runs Allowed 361

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Yankees	R	#136% 32/89	28% 25/89	27% 24/89	22% 20/89	22% 20/89	28% 25/89	28% 25/89	#329% 26/89	#230% 21/69	57% 4/7
Yankees	RA	#328% 25/89	21% 19/89	28% 25/89	#131% 28/89	18% 16/89	#229% 26/89	24% 21/89	26% 23/89	25% 19/75	71% 5/7
Rays	R	#137% 32/87	21% 18/87	26% 23/87	24% 21/87	28% 24/87	#234% 30/87	24% 21/87	#333% 29/87	21% 12/58	80% 12/15
Rays	RA	25% 22/87	23% 20/87	26% 23/87	13% 11/87	#228% 24/87	#129% 25/87	23% 20/87	#328% 24/87	26% 18/69	67% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.