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Final
2026-07-0602:30Wrigley Field
4-6
Cubs
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Cardinals000003010472
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 62% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+9pp
7–9 Late
58%
+6pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
01836547351491323024717344584544954441646317415382650914610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 399Runs Allowed 384

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
01939587839391544524543352564455356254648307535484124910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 449Runs Allowed 405
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#131% 27/8621% 18/86#231% 27/8629% 25/86#331% 27/8626% 22/8626% 22/8630% 26/8621% 14/6767% 8/12
RA33% 28/8617% 15/8614% 12/86#234% 29/86#334% 29/8633% 28/8624% 21/8631% 27/86#134% 24/7050% 6/12
CubsR20% 18/8930% 27/8922% 20/8931% 28/8926% 23/89#135% 31/8926% 23/89#333% 29/89#233% 24/7367% 8/12
RA24% 21/8927% 24/89#231% 28/8930% 27/8929% 26/89#331% 28/8920% 18/89#133% 29/8923% 16/7042% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.