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2026-07-0508:08Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 72% · Season 63% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
68%
+13pp
7–9 Late
60%
+8pp
F5 first five
58%
+3pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
01836547350491323024617344584544954441646317405382650914610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 396Runs Allowed 384

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games
01939587839381544524542352564455356254648307535384124910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 449Runs Allowed 402
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#231% 26/8521% 18/85#331% 26/8529% 25/85#132% 27/8526% 22/8526% 22/8529% 25/8521% 14/6667% 8/12
RA33% 28/8518% 15/8514% 12/85#234% 29/85#334% 29/8533% 28/8525% 21/8532% 27/85#135% 24/6950% 6/12
CubsR20% 18/8831% 27/8823% 20/8832% 28/8826% 23/88#135% 31/8826% 23/88#333% 29/88#233% 24/7267% 8/12
RA23% 20/8827% 24/88#331% 27/8831% 27/8830% 26/88#132% 28/8820% 18/88#232% 28/8823% 16/6942% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.