Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-07-0507:10Great American Ball Park

Orioles

Away

8-5

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	3	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	8	10	0
Reds	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cooling downCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Reds defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Reds offense × Orioles defense

42%R 35% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 77% · Season 61% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

41%

-14pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

52%

-2pp

F9 full game

48%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 406Runs Allowed 436

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 364Runs Allowed 422

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	25% 22/89	21% 19/89	#231% 28/89	#330% 27/89	29% 26/89	28% 25/89	#139% 35/89	20% 18/89	24% 16/68	64% 7/11
Orioles	RA	#136% 32/89	27% 24/89	26% 23/89	25% 22/89	#235% 31/89	20% 18/89	24% 21/89	#334% 30/89	26% 18/69	82% 9/11
Reds	R	28% 24/87	25% 22/87	24% 21/87	#230% 26/87	#131% 27/87	26% 23/87	15% 13/87	#329% 25/87	25% 18/72	69% 9/13
Reds	RA	#133% 29/87	24% 21/87	32% 28/87	24% 21/87	28% 24/87	28% 24/87	29% 25/87	#233% 29/87	#333% 22/67	46% 6/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.