Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-07-0408:15Daikin Park

Rays

Away

3-1

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	5	1
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.9

Rays scoring tendency

21%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 18%

Astros scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 33%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Astros defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Astros offense × Rays defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 72% · Season 66% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-2pp

7–9 Late

51%

-2pp

F5 first five

56%

+1pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 385Runs Allowed 348

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 400Runs Allowed 446

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#137% 31/84	20% 17/84	26% 22/84	24% 20/84	29% 24/84	#235% 29/84	23% 19/84	#333% 28/84	22% 12/55	80% 12/15
Rays	RA	25% 21/84	24% 20/84	#227% 23/84	11% 9/84	#327% 23/84	27% 23/84	23% 19/84	#129% 24/84	25% 17/67	67% 10/15
Astros	R	#136% 32/89	21% 19/89	#331% 28/89	22% 20/89	#233% 29/89	21% 19/89	20% 18/89	28% 25/89	23% 16/69	70% 7/10
Astros	RA	#234% 30/89	#330% 27/89	29% 26/89	29% 26/89	#138% 34/89	19% 17/89	29% 26/89	26% 23/89	25% 17/69	60% 6/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.