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Final
2026-07-0404:05Wrigley Field
17-1
Cubs
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Cardinals03353210017171
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 5%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 75% · Season 63% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+11pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
01836547350491293024317339584514954241645307405382650914610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 379Runs Allowed 383

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games
01939587839381544224539352514455056252647297535384124910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 448Runs Allowed 385
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#131% 26/8420% 17/84#330% 25/8429% 24/84#231% 26/8425% 21/8425% 21/8430% 25/8422% 14/6567% 8/12
RA33% 28/8418% 15/8414% 12/84#235% 29/84#335% 29/8433% 28/8424% 20/8432% 27/84#135% 24/6850% 6/12
CubsR21% 18/8731% 27/8723% 20/8732% 28/8726% 23/87#136% 31/8725% 22/87#333% 29/87#234% 24/7167% 8/12
RA23% 20/8726% 23/87#330% 26/8730% 26/8729% 25/87#231% 27/8720% 17/87#132% 28/8724% 16/6842% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.