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Final
2026-07-0202:20Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
3-23
Cubs
Home
Team123456789RHE
Padres0000200103111
Cubs31504208X23170

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+11pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
01836547328401255823128342384394652843640447443384110912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 330Runs Allowed 346

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
01837567536381534224039352514414856052647297455284124910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 425Runs Allowed 382
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR20% 17/8417% 14/8423% 19/8429% 24/84#230% 25/8423% 19/84#330% 25/8430% 25/84#130% 20/6788% 7/8
RA23% 19/84#232% 27/8420% 17/84#330% 25/84#133% 28/8426% 22/8426% 22/8420% 17/8414% 9/6562% 5/8
CubsR20% 17/8630% 26/8622% 19/86#333% 28/8626% 22/86#135% 30/8626% 22/8633% 28/86#234% 24/7167% 8/12
RA23% 20/8627% 23/86#330% 26/8630% 26/8628% 24/86#131% 27/8620% 17/86#231% 27/8624% 16/6742% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.