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Final
2026-07-0108:05Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
7-9
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Padres1020000407131
Cubs14003100X9130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
65%
+10pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games
01734516827391255422928342384394352842640447403384110912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 323Runs Allowed 337

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
01837557435371494224037352514384855952647297454884124910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 416Runs Allowed 375
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR19% 16/8317% 14/8322% 18/8329% 24/83#230% 25/8323% 19/83#330% 25/8329% 24/83#130% 20/6688% 7/8
RA22% 18/83#231% 26/8320% 17/83#330% 25/83#133% 27/8325% 21/8327% 22/8320% 17/8314% 9/6562% 5/8
CubsR19% 16/8529% 25/8522% 19/85#333% 28/8525% 21/85#134% 29/8526% 22/8533% 28/85#234% 24/7167% 8/12
RA22% 19/8527% 23/8529% 25/85#231% 26/8528% 24/85#132% 27/8520% 17/85#331% 26/8524% 16/6642% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.