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Final
2026-07-0107:15Truist Park
5-3
Braves
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Cardinals000401000560
Braves001000110360

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Braves scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Braves defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Braves offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 65% · Season 61% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-0pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
57%
+3pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
01836547346431293024315335584514954141638297404982550914610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 362Runs Allowed 370

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
01735527042431564623328336464513055230627157403284722961010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 390Runs Allowed 302
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR30% 24/8121% 17/81#231% 25/8128% 23/81#132% 26/8125% 20/8125% 20/81#331% 25/8121% 13/6267% 8/12
RA32% 26/8119% 15/8112% 10/81#236% 29/81#336% 29/8135% 28/8123% 19/8131% 25/81#136% 24/6650% 6/12
BravesR#333% 27/82#234% 28/8227% 22/8223% 19/8230% 25/8224% 20/8218% 15/8228% 23/82#140% 25/6371% 5/7
RA#229% 24/8222% 18/8223% 19/82#132% 26/8224% 20/8224% 20/8216% 13/82#326% 21/8218% 12/6671% 5/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.