Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-06-3008:10Daikin Park

Twins

Away

5-4

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Twins	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	0	5	8	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Twins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.9

Twins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 41%

Opponent allowing 19%

Astros scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.5

Twins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Astros defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Astros offense × Twins defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 78% · Season 68% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+10pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+1pp

7–9 Late

61%

+8pp

F5 first five

62%

+7pp

F9 full game

60%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 412Runs Allowed 442

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 387Runs Allowed 429

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	#134% 29/85	29% 25/85	28% 24/85	#332% 27/85	#233% 28/85	22% 19/85	21% 18/85	27% 23/85	30% 19/64	43% 3/7
Twins	RA	#333% 28/85	26% 22/85	27% 23/85	#235% 30/85	26% 22/85	29% 25/85	#138% 32/85	31% 26/85	30% 19/64	43% 3/7
Astros	R	#136% 31/86	22% 19/86	#233% 28/86	22% 19/86	#333% 28/86	21% 18/86	21% 18/86	29% 25/86	22% 15/67	70% 7/10
Astros	RA	#233% 28/86	#330% 26/86	30% 26/86	29% 25/86	#137% 32/86	19% 16/86	29% 25/86	26% 22/86	26% 17/66	60% 6/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.