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Final
2026-06-3008:05Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
2-3
Cubs
Home
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.6
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 62% · Season 57% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
51%
-3pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
0173451682739125542282834137439425284264044740338419912610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 321Runs Allowed 334

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
01837557435371494224036351504374855952647297454884024910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 413Runs Allowed 373
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR20% 16/8217% 14/8221% 17/8228% 23/82#230% 25/8223% 19/82#330% 25/8229% 24/82#131% 20/6588% 7/8
RA22% 18/82#132% 26/8221% 17/82#329% 24/82#232% 26/8226% 21/8227% 22/8221% 17/8212% 8/6462% 5/8
CubsR19% 16/8430% 25/8423% 19/8432% 27/8424% 20/84#135% 29/8426% 22/84#233% 28/84#333% 23/7067% 8/12
RA23% 19/8427% 23/8429% 24/84#330% 25/8429% 24/84#132% 27/8420% 17/84#231% 26/8425% 16/6542% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.