Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-06-2202:10Daikin Park

Guardians

Away

1-2

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Guardians	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0
Astros	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	X	2	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Guardians scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.1

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Inn.4

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Astros defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Astros offense × Guardians defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 72% · Season 58% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-3pp

7–9 Late

45%

-8pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 309Runs Allowed 315

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 354Runs Allowed 396

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Guardians	R	26% 20/77	17% 13/77	#231% 24/77	19% 15/77	#134% 26/77	25% 19/77	25% 19/77	#330% 23/77	20% 12/59	33% 2/6
Guardians	RA	25% 19/77	22% 17/77	19% 15/77	#332% 25/77	26% 20/77	#135% 27/77	23% 18/77	#234% 26/77	27% 16/59	83% 5/6
Astros	R	#235% 27/78	23% 18/78	#335% 27/78	21% 16/78	#136% 28/78	21% 16/78	21% 16/78	28% 22/78	20% 12/60	71% 5/7
Astros	RA	#235% 27/78	#331% 24/78	31% 24/78	27% 21/78	#137% 29/78	21% 16/78	29% 23/78	26% 20/78	27% 16/60	57% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.