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Final
2026-06-2201:40Tropicana Field
3-4
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals001101000361
Rays00100120X490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 31%
Rays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Rays defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Nationals defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 62% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
58%
+6pp
F5 first five
58%
+3pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
019385777573414045239373444944754537396613674447830389142110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 413Runs Allowed 400

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

73 games
014284257373113233229303291643737539436313874537822269222510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 323Runs Allowed 316
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR32% 25/7726% 20/77#135% 27/7729% 22/77#234% 26/7729% 22/77#334% 26/7726% 20/7728% 17/6157% 8/14
RA26% 20/7726% 20/7731% 24/77#332% 25/77#138% 29/7721% 16/7730% 23/7729% 22/77#237% 24/6571% 10/14
RaysR#134% 25/7321% 15/7326% 19/7325% 18/7325% 18/73#333% 24/7322% 16/73#234% 25/7322% 11/5080% 12/15
RA22% 16/7326% 19/73#229% 21/7311% 8/73#327% 20/73#130% 22/7325% 18/7327% 20/7325% 14/5667% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.