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Final
2026-06-2104:10Tropicana Field
4-3
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals0200100014100
Rays1010000013100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 14%
Opponent allowing 41%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Rays defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Nationals defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 61% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
57%
+5pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
019385777573313845239363444944654537396613674447829379142110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 409Runs Allowed 397

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games
014284257363113231228303291643736539436313874537821259222510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 320Runs Allowed 312
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#333% 25/7625% 19/76#136% 27/7629% 22/7633% 25/7629% 22/76#234% 26/7626% 20/7627% 16/6057% 8/14
RA25% 19/7626% 20/7630% 23/76#333% 25/76#138% 29/7621% 16/7630% 23/7629% 22/76#236% 23/6471% 10/14
RaysR#233% 24/7221% 15/7225% 18/7225% 18/7225% 18/72#333% 24/7222% 16/72#135% 25/7220% 10/4980% 12/15
RA22% 16/7225% 18/72#229% 21/7211% 8/7226% 19/72#131% 22/7225% 18/72#328% 20/7224% 13/5567% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.