Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-06-2007:10Tropicana Field

Nationals

Away

2-5

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0
Rays	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	X	5	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 27%

Rays scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 13%

Opponent allowing 44%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Rays defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Rays offense × Nationals defense

43%R 30% · RA 55%

Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 80% · Season 62% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+2pp

7–9 Late

58%

+5pp

F5 first five

55%

+0pp

F9 full game

56%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 407Runs Allowed 392

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 315Runs Allowed 310

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#333% 25/75	24% 18/75	#135% 26/75	29% 22/75	33% 25/75	29% 22/75	#235% 26/75	27% 20/75	27% 16/59	57% 8/14
Nationals	RA	25% 19/75	27% 20/75	29% 22/75	#332% 24/75	#139% 29/75	21% 16/75	31% 23/75	28% 21/75	#236% 23/64	71% 10/14
Rays	R	#134% 24/71	21% 15/71	24% 17/71	24% 17/71	25% 18/71	#234% 24/71	23% 16/71	#334% 24/71	20% 10/49	80% 12/15
Rays	RA	23% 16/71	24% 17/71	#228% 20/71	11% 8/71	27% 19/71	#131% 22/71	25% 18/71	#328% 20/71	24% 13/54	67% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.