Sportify
Final
2026-06-1707:45Busch Stadium
Padres
Away
2-3
Team123456789RHE
Padres000011000240
Cardinals02001000X380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cardinals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#3
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cardinals offense × Padres defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 64% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
56%
+3pp
F5 first five
56%
+2pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games
014294358213311746226243333443536523296384273328838898510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 272Runs Allowed 285

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games
01428425738381202024114331404454554036636247404581739914610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 322Runs Allowed 307
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR20% 14/7117% 12/7121% 15/7124% 17/71#330% 21/7121% 15/71#232% 23/7130% 21/71#133% 19/5783% 5/6
RA24% 17/71#131% 22/7121% 15/71#330% 21/71#231% 22/7124% 17/7130% 21/7121% 15/7112% 7/5667% 4/6
CardinalsR30% 21/7019% 13/70#233% 23/7029% 20/70#331% 22/7027% 19/7027% 19/70#136% 25/7019% 10/5467% 8/12
RA31% 22/7019% 13/7013% 9/70#333% 23/70#136% 25/7033% 23/7021% 15/7031% 22/70#235% 20/5750% 6/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.