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Final
2026-06-1201:10Citi Field
4-5
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals130000000470
Mets30001010X5100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Mets scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 54% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+9pp
7–9 Late
41%
-12pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
01327415534341132024114328364444153834626187394181738914610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 294Runs Allowed 282

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games
013274054313413134219433363043021540366222572435811189231010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 267Runs Allowed 286
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR28% 18/6515% 10/65#235% 23/6528% 18/65#332% 21/6528% 18/6525% 16/65#137% 24/6520% 10/5067% 8/12
RA31% 20/6520% 13/6514% 9/6532% 21/65#234% 22/65#334% 22/6518% 12/6529% 19/65#135% 19/5550% 6/12
MetsR#328% 19/67#133% 22/6718% 12/6725% 17/6725% 17/67#230% 20/6725% 17/6721% 14/6712% 7/5762% 10/16
RA#328% 19/6727% 18/67#137% 25/6722% 15/6721% 14/67#233% 22/6722% 15/6722% 15/6722% 11/5156% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.