Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-06-1107:10Citi Field

Cardinals

Away

9-2

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	2	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	1	9	11	0
Mets	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Cardinals scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.4

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Cardinals defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+7pp

7–9 Late

43%

-9pp

F5 first five

58%

+4pp

F9 full game

53%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 285Runs Allowed 280

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 265Runs Allowed 277

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	27% 17/64	16% 10/64	#234% 22/64	27% 17/64	#331% 20/64	28% 18/64	25% 16/64	#138% 24/64	18% 9/49	67% 8/12
Cardinals	RA	31% 20/64	20% 13/64	14% 9/64	31% 20/64	#234% 22/64	#334% 22/64	19% 12/64	30% 19/64	#135% 19/54	50% 6/12
Mets	R	#329% 19/66	#133% 22/66	18% 12/66	24% 16/66	26% 17/66	#230% 20/66	26% 17/66	21% 14/66	12% 7/56	62% 10/16
Mets	RA	#327% 18/66	27% 18/66	#136% 24/66	21% 14/66	20% 13/66	#233% 22/66	23% 15/66	23% 15/66	20% 10/50	56% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.