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Final
2026-06-0909:40Petco Park
Reds
Away
2-6
Padres
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Reds000011000291
Padres00100023X6100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Reds scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.7
Reds scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Padres defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Reds defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
58%
+6pp
F5 first five
59%
+5pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games
01428425741451294121726339424352752733617307303582942911510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 275Runs Allowed 326

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games
013263953152811442223233332943133523286333972727835897210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 241Runs Allowed 259
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR27% 17/6427% 17/6422% 14/64#134% 22/64#233% 21/6428% 18/6416% 10/6428% 18/64#331% 16/5260% 6/10
RA#236% 23/6428% 18/6428% 18/6430% 19/6428% 18/6427% 17/64#331% 20/6428% 18/64#138% 19/5040% 4/10
PadresR17% 11/6416% 10/6420% 13/6427% 17/64#328% 18/6423% 15/64#231% 20/6428% 18/64#131% 16/51100% 4/4
RA23% 15/64#131% 20/6422% 14/64#328% 18/64#230% 19/6425% 16/6428% 18/6422% 14/6414% 7/5150% 2/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.