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Final
2026-06-0906:40Tropicana Field
1-3
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
52%R 50% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 60% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
54%
-0pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
0153045601948118252342333928429445242963218713238401691410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 249Runs Allowed 258

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

62 games
011233547332913126222253241342733537376313373631820249222510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 283Runs Allowed 276
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR19% 12/6319% 12/6321% 13/63#132% 20/6324% 15/63#325% 16/6325% 16/6317% 11/63#230% 16/5420% 1/5
RA#141% 26/6321% 13/63#324% 15/6321% 13/63#241% 26/6324% 15/6317% 11/6322% 14/6318% 9/5060% 3/5
RaysR#135% 22/6223% 14/6224% 15/6224% 15/6223% 14/62#235% 22/6226% 16/62#334% 21/6221% 9/4380% 12/15
RA24% 15/6224% 15/62#327% 17/6210% 6/6227% 17/62#131% 19/6226% 16/62#229% 18/6224% 12/5067% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.