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Final
2026-06-0804:10Petco Park
Mets
Away
7-3
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Mets1100220107131
Padres000020001370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Mets defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 75% · Season 54% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
59%
+5pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games
012243648303213034219373342742816538366222472335811169231010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 258Runs Allowed 267

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
013263952152711441223233332942931523266333972726834897210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 238Runs Allowed 252
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#328% 18/64#133% 21/6419% 12/6425% 16/6425% 16/64#230% 19/6427% 17/6420% 13/6413% 7/5462% 10/16
RA#328% 18/6428% 18/64#136% 23/6422% 14/6417% 11/64#234% 22/6422% 14/6423% 15/6419% 9/4856% 9/16
PadresR17% 11/6316% 10/6321% 13/6327% 17/6327% 17/6324% 15/63#132% 20/63#329% 18/63#230% 15/50100% 4/4
RA22% 14/63#130% 19/6322% 14/63#229% 18/63#329% 18/6324% 15/6329% 18/6321% 13/6314% 7/5050% 2/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.