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Final
2026-06-0507:15Truist Park
7-2
Braves
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Blue Jays0030000047160
Braves001000010240

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Braves defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Braves offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
48%
-6pp
F9 full game
51%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

62 games
01327405426321151122643324264242853337634327402981615912910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 250Runs Allowed 262

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

62 games
0142944593433147212261433338441245462362110735298391495710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 327Runs Allowed 213
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 15/6215% 9/62#327% 17/6221% 13/6223% 14/62#132% 20/62#231% 19/6227% 17/6225% 12/4888% 7/8
RA#132% 20/6211% 7/62#232% 20/6231% 19/6227% 17/62#332% 20/6224% 15/6226% 16/6222% 10/4575% 6/8
BravesR#335% 22/62#237% 23/6227% 17/6226% 16/6231% 19/6227% 17/6218% 11/6231% 19/62#145% 21/4780% 4/5
RA#329% 18/6219% 12/6219% 12/62#132% 20/6226% 16/6226% 16/6213% 8/62#231% 19/6215% 8/5360% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.