Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-06-0501:05Citizens Bank Park

Padres

Away

4-6

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	4	2
Phillies	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0	X	6	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Inn.1

Padres scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 5%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Phillies defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Phillies offense × Padres defense

20%R 20% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 57% · Season 49% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-9pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-7pp

7–9 Late

47%

-5pp

F5 first five

45%

-9pp

F9 full game

46%

-7pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

60 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 231Runs Allowed 239

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 236Runs Allowed 260

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	18% 11/60	17% 10/60	20% 12/60	28% 17/60	28% 17/60	25% 15/60	#130% 18/60	#230% 18/60	#329% 14/48	100% 4/4
Padres	RA	23% 14/60	#128% 17/60	22% 13/60	#228% 17/60	#327% 16/60	25% 15/60	27% 16/60	22% 13/60	12% 6/48	50% 2/4
Phillies	R	#131% 19/61	20% 12/61	20% 12/61	18% 11/61	#325% 15/61	25% 15/61	16% 10/61	#230% 18/61	21% 10/48	62% 5/8
Phillies	RA	21% 13/61	25% 15/61	#134% 21/61	25% 15/61	#326% 16/61	#234% 21/61	25% 15/61	26% 16/61	20% 10/49	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.