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Final
2026-06-0408:10Daikin Park
9-11
Astros
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Pirates0004013109122
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#2
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.8
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Astros defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Astros offense × Pirates defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +1pp
Last 20 60% · Season 65% · -5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-2pp
7–9 Late
48%
-5pp
F5 first five
57%
+3pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games
014294358432614515225223193544643544306203273130825259131810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 311Runs Allowed 276

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

62 games
0173552704238126322353533038444565232262242733248172095710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 277Runs Allowed 314
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#141% 25/6128% 17/6121% 13/6120% 12/61#238% 23/61#338% 23/6116% 10/6126% 16/6129% 13/4556% 9/16
RA20% 12/6118% 11/6125% 15/61#133% 20/61#231% 19/6125% 15/6123% 14/61#326% 16/6125% 13/5262% 10/16
AstrosR#137% 23/6226% 16/62#332% 20/6224% 15/62#237% 23/6216% 10/6221% 13/6227% 17/6218% 9/5080% 4/5
RA#232% 20/62#331% 19/6227% 17/6229% 18/62#140% 25/6219% 12/6229% 18/6226% 16/6230% 14/4660% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.