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Final
2026-06-0407:15Truist Park
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Braves
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays101000001381
Braves01300030X790

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#3
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Braves scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Braves defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Braves offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
42%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
46%
-7pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games
01225375025321151022540324264242853337634297402981515912910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 247Runs Allowed 255

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games
0142943583432146212231333338441245462361810735298391395710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 320Runs Allowed 210
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR23% 14/6115% 9/6126% 16/6121% 13/6123% 14/61#133% 20/61#231% 19/61#328% 17/6123% 11/4788% 7/8
RA#133% 20/6110% 6/61#331% 19/6131% 19/6128% 17/61#233% 20/6123% 14/6126% 16/6122% 10/4575% 6/8
BravesR#236% 22/61#336% 22/6126% 16/6126% 16/6131% 19/6128% 17/6116% 10/6131% 19/61#145% 21/4780% 4/5
RA#328% 17/6120% 12/6118% 11/61#133% 20/6126% 16/6126% 16/6113% 8/61#231% 19/6113% 7/5260% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.