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Final
2021-03-2709:40Peoria Stadium
3-6
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Mariners120000000330
Padres01023000X691

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 58%
Padres scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
39%R 20% · RA 58%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
36%R 42% · RA 30%
Sample 10Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 75% · Season 82% · -7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+4pp
7–9 Late
61%
+3pp
F5 first five
60%
-2pp
F9 full game
61%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
0715223013141918221831522418245151468137668569ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 110Runs Allowed 125

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
071522302361101426123916410155241861911712687139ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 120Runs Allowed 111
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#136% 9/2524% 6/25#332% 8/2528% 7/2532% 8/2524% 6/2529% 7/2424% 4/17#233% 4/12-
RA28% 7/2528% 7/2520% 5/25#144% 11/25#244% 11/25#336% 9/2529% 7/2421% 4/1931% 4/13-
PadresR#158% 14/2417% 4/2417% 4/2425% 6/2417% 4/24#242% 10/2429% 7/24#340% 8/2038% 5/13-
RA25% 6/2425% 6/2429% 7/24#242% 10/24#338% 9/2433% 8/2430% 7/2315% 3/20#162% 8/13-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.