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Final
2021-03-2006:05
10-9
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals30210020210162
Astros0120600009110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
47%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 27%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Astros scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 33%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
47%R 53% · RA 40%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
33%R 40% · RA 27%
Sample 15Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 80% · Season 80% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
62%
-0pp
7–9 Late
52%
-6pp
F5 first five
52%
-9pp
F9 full game
55%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

15 games
0371014109156276387487510667472118399ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 60Runs Allowed 65

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

15 games
0371115781552311345436512961979581229ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.7123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 56Runs Allowed 60
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR33% 5/1520% 3/1520% 3/15#340% 6/1533% 5/15#153% 8/15#243% 6/147% 1/1417% 2/12-
RA#240% 6/1533% 5/1520% 3/1533% 5/1513% 2/1527% 4/1521% 3/14#143% 6/14#336% 4/11-
AstrosR20% 3/1520% 3/1520% 3/1520% 3/1520% 3/15#140% 6/157% 1/14#236% 4/11#333% 3/9-
RA27% 4/1527% 4/1527% 4/1520% 3/15#333% 5/15#140% 6/15#236% 5/1418% 2/1112% 1/8-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.